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Journal of Travel Research
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Predicting Changes in Hong Kong’s Hotel Industry Given the Change in Sovereignty from Britain to China in 1997

Jacqueline Lloyd

Department of Educational Studies at Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana

Joseph M. La Lopa

Department of Restaurant, Hotel, Institutional, and Tourism Management at Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana

Carl G. Braunlich

Department of Restaurant, Hotel, Institutional, and Tourism Management at Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana

A modified three-round Delphi study of 14 general managers was used to predict which changes will occur in Hong Kong’s hotel industry as a result of the change in sovereignty from Britain to the People’s Republic of China in 1997. The managers predicted that competitiveness within the hotel industry would become more intense following an immediate short-term lull in business, or recession, after the handover. In the long run, managers predicted that the number/type of hotels, influx of new labor, and volume of business would increase, making Hong Kong highly competitive with the rest of Asia.

Journal of Travel Research, Vol. 38, No. 4, 405-410 (2000)
DOI: 10.1177/004728750003800409
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