Advanced Search

Journal Navigation

Journal Home

Subscriptions

Archive

Contact Us

Table of Contents

Click here to learn more!

Click here to sign up for SAGE Journal Email Alerts today!

Sign In to gain access to subscriptions and/or personal tools.
Journal of Travel Research
This Article
Right arrow Full Text (PDF)
Right arrow All Versions of this Article:
0047287508321197v1
47/2/225    most recent
Right arrow References
Right arrow Alert me when this article is cited
Right arrow Alert me if a correction is posted
Services
Right arrow Email this article to a friend
Right arrow Similar articles in this journal
Right arrow Alert me to new issues of the journal
Right arrow Add to Saved Citations
Right arrow Download to citation manager
Right arrowRequest Permissions
Right arrow Request Reprints
Right arrow Add to My Marked Citations
Citing Articles
Right arrow Citing Articles via Google Scholar
Right arrow Citing Articles via Scopus
Google Scholar
Right arrow Articles by Ahlert, G.
Right arrow Search for Related Content
Social Bookmarking
Add to CiteULike   Add to Complore   Add to Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us   Add to Digg   Add to Reddit   Add to Technorati   Add to Twitter  
What's this?

Estimating the Economic Impact of an Increase in Inbound Tourism on the German Economy Using TSA Results

Gerd Ahlert

Gesellschaft für Wirtschaftliche Strukturforschung

This article shows which additional analysis options are available within the framework of model-based macroeconomic analyses using structural information provided by tourism satellite accounts (TSAs). Based on their modular, product-specific documentation of results, TSAs provide optimal linkages to input–output models. In addition to the use of the simple input–output approaches, dynamically formulated macroeconomic structural models should be considered. After a brief characterization of the main demands placed on a macroeconomic model, the dynamic macroeconomic forecasting and simulation model for the German economy, Interindustry Forecasting Germany (INFORGE), is presented. Against the background of Germany being able to increase its market share in international tourism over the next several years, the corresponding scenario is elaborated in more specific terms using TSA results. After an explanation of the assumed scenario relating to the future development of inbound tourism, some simulation results using the INFORGE model to estimate the overall effects on income and employment are presented.

Key Words: tourism satellite accounts • TSA • inbound tourism consumption • macroeconomic modeling • net economic impacts

This version was published on November 1, 2008

Journal of Travel Research, Vol. 47, No. 2, 225-234 (2008)
DOI: 10.1177/0047287508321197
Add to CiteULike CiteULike   Add to Complore Complore   Add to Connotea Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us Del.icio.us   Add to Digg Digg   Add to Reddit Reddit   Add to Technorati Technorati   Add to Twitter Twitter    What's this?